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Old 06-11-2006, 12:10 PM   #1
Svenwulf
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Default Gold, US Dollars, and beyond.

I know some folks have had some pain with commodities the last month. Dollar is strengthening, and the Fed is on seek and destroy with inflation. Taken just on its own numbers, the US economy is doing well depsite some points of fundemental weakness. This all ignores the 800lb gorrilla in the room that costs us something like 6 billion a month: Iraq. As tempting as it might be to politize here, let's focus on the money. And to me, things look a lot like the late 70s. There is a convergence of bad threads, most of which have yet to really take affect. An unpopular war, lack of faith in govt/economy, increasing trade def, increasing budget def, looming inflation, and a loss of international interest in our debt/bonds. Very gloom and doom i agree, but i also know some people made large sums of money in the late 70s. Perhaps by learning from thier actions, and drawing corelations to today's world, we can protect those close to us.
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Old 06-11-2006, 04:55 PM   #2
madcowdisease
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Default Re: Gold, US Dollars, and beyond.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Svenwulf
I know some folks have had some pain with commodities the last month. Dollar is strengthening, and the Fed is on seek and destroy with inflation. Taken just on its own numbers, the US economy is doing well depsite some points of fundemental weakness. This all ignores the 800lb gorrilla in the room that costs us something like 6 billion a month: Iraq. As tempting as it might be to politize here, let's focus on the money. And to me, things look a lot like the late 70s. There is a convergence of bad threads, most of which have yet to really take affect. An unpopular war, lack of faith in govt/economy, increasing trade def, increasing budget def, looming inflation, and a loss of international interest in our debt/bonds. Very gloom and doom i agree, but i also know some people made large sums of money in the late 70s. Perhaps by learning from thier actions, and drawing corelations to today's world, we can protect those close to us.
If demand in our bonds decreases that is where I'll be putting my money. I just won't buy them with the current yield. But If I could get a higher yield due to decreasing demand/price then I will put my money in the riskless investment that is T-bills.
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