Monsanto

BigScore · 03-19-2008, 07:19 PM

With big drop today, and results due April 2, I'm thinking the April 115 Calls would be a good play at $2.50/2.75 range. Any thoughts?

Tonkatoy · 03-19-2008, 10:01 PM

I'm a novice, but I was thinking the same thing earlier today because of the drop, the Delta on this option is only 0.2424, based on the implied volatility, MON has the probability of 52% of being under 100 at expiration and a 34% of hitting 115 at some point. I usually try and go for higher deltas but it means I have to pay more for the option. Just my thoughts. As stated I'm a novice, so take it with a grain of salt.

wallstreetsedge · 03-22-2008, 07:11 AM

i like it a lot in every way
also looks like an abandoned baby bear

pedrom727 · 03-24-2008, 02:13 PM

I like all the agriculture names, my favorite is Potash personally but they are all good investments with a great fundamental story. I buy into this sector on every pull back, hasn't failed me yet.

MrSer · 03-24-2008, 10:08 PM

I would rather play monsanto indirectly with other companies like pot, bg, tra, etc. The options will be more expensive for monsanto and others will likely react well to their earnings report if it is as you expect it to be.

MrSer · 03-25-2008, 11:24 PM

Hope you got in

03-19-2008, 07:19 PM	#1
BigScore new member Join Date: Mar 2008 Location: Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada Posts: 1	Monsanto With big drop today, and results due April 2, I'm thinking the April 115 Calls would be a good play at $2.50/2.75 range. Any thoughts?

03-19-2008, 10:01 PM	#2
Tonkatoy valued contributor Join Date: Feb 2008 Location: Windsor, Ontario Canada Posts: 61	Re: Monsanto I'm a novice, but I was thinking the same thing earlier today because of the drop, the Delta on this option is only 0.2424, based on the implied volatility, MON has the probability of 52% of being under 100 at expiration and a 34% of hitting 115 at some point. I usually try and go for higher deltas but it means I have to pay more for the option. Just my thoughts. As stated I'm a novice, so take it with a grain of salt.

03-22-2008, 07:11 AM	#3
wallstreetsedge forum leader weekly challenge winner 2x Join Date: Dec 2007 Location: NYSE Posts: 1,632	Re: Monsanto i like it a lot in every way also looks like an abandoned baby bear

03-24-2008, 02:13 PM	#4
pedrom727 valued contributor Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 273	Re: Monsanto I like all the agriculture names, my favorite is Potash personally but they are all good investments with a great fundamental story. I buy into this sector on every pull back, hasn't failed me yet.

03-24-2008, 10:08 PM	#5
MrSer valued contributor weekly challenge winner 3x Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 451	Re: Monsanto I would rather play monsanto indirectly with other companies like pot, bg, tra, etc. The options will be more expensive for monsanto and others will likely react well to their earnings report if it is as you expect it to be.

03-25-2008, 11:24 PM	#6
MrSer valued contributor weekly challenge winner 3x Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 451	Re: Monsanto Hope you got in

Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Email this Page
Display Modes
Linear Mode Switch to Hybrid Mode Switch to Threaded Mode

Similar Threads	Thread Starter	Forum	Replies	Last Post
Booming Monsanto (FT.com)	Yahoo! Finance	Stocks - market news, analysis and advice (RSS feeds)	0	01-15-2008 11:50 AM
Jim Cramer's Stop Trading! Buy Monsanto	TheStreet.com	Mad Money recaps and CEO interviews (RSS feeds)	0	09-14-2007 04:20 PM
Jim Cramer's Stop Trading! Buy Monsanto	TheStreet.com	Mad Money recaps and CEO interviews (RSS feeds)	0	07-05-2007 04:30 PM
Jim Cramer's Stop Trading! Buy Monsanto	TheStreet.com	Mad Money recaps and CEO interviews (RSS feeds)	0	05-15-2007 04:20 PM
Monsanto (MON) 12/17/2006	Harry Aloof	Wall Street Trader's Column - weekly stock pick	0	12-19-2006 09:05 AM