View Full Version : DSTI for 2008
chinaman711
01-02-2008, 10:18 AM
DayStar Technologies For The 2008 Solar Bubble
By Zackery Lions, on 01-01-2008
Favoured : 4
Published in : Guest Submissions, Your Commentary / Opinion
Bubbles in the investing world is every investor's dream. Catching the trend early and latching onto the right stock is equivalent to winning the gold medal at the investor olympics. And for the average investor combining these two happens about as often as the Olympics come around.
The internet bubble is the most recent investing bubble. The start of the internet bubble is debatable but I think it really got the wind to its back about mid 1996 and lasted for about 3 years. It was a wild ride with many investors getting rich beyond their wildest imaginations. Many stocks performed during this time period much as GOOGLE has since its IPO. But like all bubbles, the internet bubble eventually burst.
Bubbles come and go in the investing world. And while they may continue strong for many years eventually they all burst and in time another one emerges to take its place. I think we are seeing the early stages of the next bubble now. And I think that bubble is going to be in the alternative energy sector of the market, more specifically the Solar Energy sector.
If the lifespan of a bubble is compared to a football game I would have to say that we are in still in pre season. That is, we all know it's coming but the full list of players and contenders are still warming up and taking the field in practice sessions. There is much trading of players (mergers) still ahead and eventually there will be two or three great teams (companies) that will rise above the rest.
However unlike a football game it is not a winner take all situation. You do not have to be lucky enough to pick either of these top companies in order to be a winner in this coming bubble. You can also look to companies who may provide parts, products or other alliances that would support the major players. Or you may look to some of the smaller cap companies with a strong product pipeline that would make it a buyout, takeover, or merger target of another player. Yes, there are many ways in which investors will play this coming bubble and like all the bubbles in the past there will be individual winners of both investors and companies.
Currently I am looking at DayStar Technologies ( DSTI) . In my opinion this company falls into the buyout category. It is a small cap company with a specialty in "thin-film solar cell based upon the copper-indium-gallium-selenide semiconductor material system, known as CIGS".
DayStar Technologies is one of only three public traded companies considered to be a "thin film" company. Below is a quote from Jenny Chase, analyst for New Energy Finance.
"Jenny Chase, senior solar analyst for New Energy Finance advises that investors look among thin-film companies that are technology leaders in their field...publicly traded stocks are limited to First Solar, DayStar Technologies and Energy Conversion Devices."
Source : The Megaphone News Article via Forbes
So obviously I do not think that DayStar will see the price already attained by First Solar ( FSLR ), which is currently $267.14. But I do think that a company such as this may possibly make an offer for the company or form some sort of alliance that would be very beneficial to both companies.
While I do not expect DayStar to ever reach $250 per share, I do think the return will be surprising. For example First Solar has traded in a 52 week range of $27.54 - $283.00! Sure, we all wish we had invested in FSLR early in 2007. But this type of return signals the types of returns many of these companies will see once the bubble forms in earnest.
DayStar has recently received a vote of confidence from some funding investors. The company raised some $68 million in needed cash by way of a secondary offering with a follow-on. Now unlike many small cap companies this was not a PIPE type financing with warrants attached. No sir, this was an offering of shares at the stated price of $4.25 per share. In my opinion the type of investors who buy into these types of offerings are looking for a much larger pay off than a simple run, flip, short, cover and gone type investor you often times see with a PIPE financing structured deal.
Source: Yahoo News- DayStar Funding
DayStar has seen a 52 week range of $2.00 - $7.50 and closed trading Monday, Jan 31 2007 at $6.25. In recent trading sessions DayStar Technologies has started showing some signs that investors are moving in. For example Monday's trading session saw DSTI trade 8.3 million shares which is an all time volume day as best I can tell. You need to go back to about Jun '05 to find some 6 million share days and then DSTI was trading above the $13 price range.
So why would anyone think a stock that once traded mid-teens could be an investment? Anyone who has seen stocks come public or trading in the early stages often times see them get run up ahead of themselves. The speculators of a sector are eager to jump in. They know they have a great idea about where the future of a sector is headed and often times they are correct...only a few years early.
I think this is what happened not only to DayStar but many other companies in different sectors of the alternative energy field. Speculation got far ahead of progress and demand. But now some 2-3 years later oil is trading near $100 a barrel, the world is turning towards "green energy" solutions, and to top it all off the President recently signed the energy bill which provides some incentives for these companies to continue development and which should provide some stability to the whole alternative energy sector.
True, Daystar is but one of these emerging companies. True, investing in these companies comes with considerable risk. But also true...... First Solar (FSLR) closed trading on the last day of Dec 2006 at $28.50 per share. First Solar closed trading the last day of Dec 2007 at $267.14.
I think DayStar is one of the logical choices for consideration. And while I would like to hear some more information from the company on progress, the recent volume and price action indicates to me that some with a lot more money than I do are placing their bets and I am going to ride along for awhile and see where this one goes.
chinaman711
01-02-2008, 05:20 PM
Another good day, look for a test of resistance at 7.69 imo. Heavy volume today, almost 5 mil shares.
Bman409
01-03-2008, 01:40 AM
Good article
I think thin film is probably going to be hot in 2008
Rare earth metal producers may benefit as well... indium, gallium, tellurium.. those could take off in price, like silicon has... Could be interesting!
That's the angle I'm pursuing with my Canadian traded VNP.TO, which is a supplier of cadmium telluride, the key compound in First Solar's technology.
netwrangler
01-03-2008, 03:55 AM
Here is a rough cut on a black-scholes model for DSTIZ.
The graph plots DSTIZ price on the Y-axis and DSTI price on the X-axis.
2422
Here is the same data in table form:
2423
The data is based on an [unconfirmed] assumption that the DSTIZ strike is $10 and the exercise time is 360 days from now. The time is almost surely wrong. I couldn't find the details on the warrant on my first pass through the research sites – including the DSTI company site. Even so, it presents a feel for how the stock and warrant prices interact. [If someone has more accurate data on the warrant, I'll update the model.]
The Pivot Point related figures for tomorrow are:
R2 = 7.25
R1 = 6.75
PP = 6.18
S1 = 5.68
S2 = 5.11
These are probably more meaningful than bio-curves, but there is no magic built in. I plot these levels on my 1-min and 5-min streaming charts. They make good visual aids in following the intraday action.
aiki14
01-03-2008, 06:37 PM
Warrant strike is 9 I think. jan of 2010 maybe? Cman will know
Jelly
01-05-2008, 11:11 AM
I might call and go visit DayStar, if they let me. Are there any questions anyone thinks I should ask?
aiki14
01-05-2008, 11:16 AM
I might call and go visit DayStar, if they let me. Are there any questions anyone thinks I should ask?
Ask if the Limo in front belongs to the GE M&A team. Then just PM me and we'll talk. :p ;)
Jelly
01-05-2008, 12:16 PM
OK, I'll see it I can get to the front desk without slipping on all the champagne corks.
*There's a conference on Tue in SF.
** I should include at least two others or insider trading penalties might apply.;)
chinaman711
01-07-2008, 09:31 AM
Need to fine out when production will start. They are hiring so must be soon. Warrants if i remember right expire in july of 2009 and the strike price is 10.
Gzapper
01-07-2008, 12:32 PM
Account Alerts
Events related to your account
Date Symbol Subject Action
1/7/2008 11:23:09 AM ET DSTI SELL SHORT 195 DSTI @ $6.1901 Completed Executed
a little something i did today as a test =D
chinaman711
01-07-2008, 02:28 PM
Ah your a rookie lol
Gzapper
01-07-2008, 05:31 PM
another short in the last 3 trading days and another profit.. wheres the 10 dollar mark cman? this thing was suppose to go to 8 then 9 then 10 at 7.60 last week. your 2008 ROI in 3 trading days is -/+%8. nice start 8O
aiki14
01-07-2008, 05:56 PM
another short in the last 3 trading days and another profit.. wheres the 10 dollar mark cman? this thing was suppose to go to 8 then 9 then 10 at 7.60 last week. your 2008 ROI in 3 trading days is -/+%8. nice start 8O
I have to admit you've got cajones, you're also a liar, pathetic, and childish. To suggest that you actually made a profit or bring anything of value to this forum, while striking out at a real contributor is disgusting. You are absolutely valueless to this forum, and that's being generous. You should be banned for the mindless drivel you clutter up the forum with. Your sad desperate cries for attention are infantile. It has been said you have your fans, but nobody who has thought out how your posts detract from the forum can possibly defend you in a meaningful way. You should leave and never return.
chinaman711
01-07-2008, 06:07 PM
Its jan 7th rookie, dsti in 2008
chinaman711
01-07-2008, 06:17 PM
Rookie FYI were playing bqi for the next 10 days lol. DSTI is a nice trade and good l/t imo
Chubby Khabob
01-07-2008, 07:22 PM
Dang.
This place is ripe with the personal attacks.
aiki14
01-07-2008, 07:27 PM
Dang.
This place is ripe with the personal attacks.
That bother you Jack?
Chubby Khabob
01-07-2008, 07:32 PM
It bothers certain people on this forum.
aiki14
01-07-2008, 07:48 PM
It bothers certain people on this forum.
Really?
And in the 15 minutes you've been here, you've discovered an undercurrent of the bothered?
Chubby Khabob
01-07-2008, 07:50 PM
Really?
And in the 15 minutes you've been here, you've discovered an undercurrent of the bothered?
I've read at least 600 threads. Don't confuse my knowledge by the number of posts. I may have lurked for years. Tolerance preached and tolerance lived are two different things.
Jelly
01-07-2008, 08:02 PM
Chubby, don't look now. ......he made ya defend.
aiki14
01-07-2008, 08:13 PM
I've read at least 600 threads. Don't confuse my knowledge by the number of posts. I may have lurked for years. Tolerance preached and tolerance lived are two different things.
And after 600 threads you elected to bump the ones you did. That's what I base my impression of your knowledge upon. Tolerance for trolls is for chumps.
Chubby Khabob
01-07-2008, 08:16 PM
And after 600 threads you elected to bump the ones you did. That's what I base my impression of your knowledge upon. Tolerance for trolls is for chumps.
Please let me know which one's are appropriate to post.
And Jelly, I've watched you in the chat room....I'll let you ponder my opinion.
aiki14
01-07-2008, 08:28 PM
Please let me know which one's are appropriate to post.
And Jelly, I've watched you in the chat room....I'll let you ponder my opinion.
Post what you want, and expect to be judged by it. That's the way it works. If you bump a post by a cretinous flamer, who as I said earlier, came with malice aforethought, and the intent to cause problems, and refer to him as smart, it's going to set off the folks who really care about this place.
I have plenty of post's and expect to be judged by folks based upon them. I don't see why that would be a problem.
aiki14
01-07-2008, 08:30 PM
Hey Jelly, I have watched you in the chatroom as well, please put on a shirt will ya buddy? :p
netwrangler
01-07-2008, 08:55 PM
Hey Jelly, I have watched you in the chatroom as well, please put on a shirt will ya buddy? :pAnd cover up the tatts?
Jelly
01-07-2008, 10:56 PM
And Jelly, I've watched you in the chat room....I'll let you ponder my opinion.
I thought I felt a strange amount of undue adoration. Kind of a stalking feeling. Sorry, I only do wimmins.
Jelly
01-07-2008, 11:06 PM
Hey Jelly, I have watched you in the chatroom as well, please put on a shirt will ya buddy? :p
I'm practicing for the nude beach at Hedonism III in Jamaica.
*I watch you too. ... and learn. And don't say much cause I my absorbancy quotient gets trashed when I do.
Jelly
01-07-2008, 11:08 PM
"And cover up the tatts?"
Tatts are so yesterday. Scars are what is Old Mutual.
Jelly
01-07-2008, 11:09 PM
Damn, I think I forgot to ponder. Oh well!:roll:
Gzapper
01-07-2008, 11:22 PM
wow 8O what did i miss here? bahaha i never bashed anyone on this forum until people started bashing me.. i talk about my general hobbies and my uncles and chimmichangas.. sometimes plungers.. i give my opinion and leave it at that. People like aiki come along who think they are too good for the world and start playing police on this thing. Most of my comments are made on off topic threads and threads i usually start. I have nothing against this forum or the people here at all. Aiki's and Pirates comments about my threads do nothing but instigate this back and forth garlic flavored no salt bologna. Whats with all the bugs up people @sses? Enjoy yourselves and maybe get a massage to loosen up your cha chas with zooberance :wink:
Jelly
01-07-2008, 11:43 PM
wow 8O what did i miss here? bahaha Enjoy yourselves and maybe get a massage to loosen up your cha chas with zooberance :wink:
Dude! English? WTF?
Gzapper
01-07-2008, 11:52 PM
Dude! English? WTF?
i said what did i miss here bc i posted my last comment on here this afternoon and i came back and it was all going back and forth with aiki and a newbie. enjoy yourselves was referring to enjoy life and take it easy. :roll:
TonyM
01-08-2008, 12:20 AM
And Jelly, I've watched you in the chat room....I'll let you ponder my opinion.
I thought I felt a strange amount of undue adoration. Kind of a stalking feeling. Sorry, I only do wimmins.
Did you feel the need to curl up in a ball in the shower after that feeling in chat?:lol:
TonyM
01-08-2008, 12:24 AM
i said what did i miss here bc i posted my last comment on here this afternoon and i came back and it was all going back and forth with aiki and a newbie. enjoy yourselves was referring to enjoy life and take it easy. :roll:
You have been taunting Chinaman and he is the last person I would expect anyone to go after, he rarely posts about anything other than business and I can't recall any attacks ever from him.
Gzapper
01-08-2008, 12:34 AM
You have been taunting Chinaman and he is the last person I would expect anyone to go after, he rarely posts about anything other than business and I can't recall any attacks ever from him.
well im not attacking cman or anyone...i never had problems with cman ever. and in fact if u ask him i went out of my way to message him and tell him (and i still feel this way) that he brings great knowledge and opinion to the forum and thanked him. when im in the chat though he consistently adds his two sense when it comes to pirates and aikis instigating. and to add to the matter look at this thread itself.. and look who started.. i clearly stated that i do not like this stock at this time and had made a nice profit for the year shorting cmans pick. i dont feel this is a taunt its just my opinion that goes against his. i posted my scottrde transaction to prove to the guys in the chat that i really did do it since apparantly everything i do is a lie. going back to the topic at hand though i wish all the best of luck with this stock this year and it may go thru the roof.. i have no idea.. but imo i hope your entry point this year starts around the %-20 range :p
TonyM
01-08-2008, 12:47 AM
well im not attacking cman or anyone...i never had problems with cman ever. and in fact if u ask him i went out of my way to message him and tell him (and i still feel this way) that he brings great knowledge and opinion to the forum and thanked him. when im in the chat though he consistently adds his two sense when it comes to pirates and aikis instigating. and to add to the matter look at this thread itself.. and look who started.. i clearly stated that i do not like this stock at this time and had made a nice profit for the year shorting cmans pick. i dont feel this is a taunt its just my opinion that goes against his. i posted my scottrde transaction to prove to the guys in the chat that i really did do it since apparantly everything i do is a lie. going back to the topic at hand though i wish all the best of luck with this stock this year and it may go thru the roof.. i have no idea.. but imo i hope your entry point this year starts around the %-20 range :p
There was another thread where you taunted him in which I remember responding, so to me it seems there is a pattern of being in competition with C-man for some reason. The year is young and I haven't met my quota of being wrong yet, so there is that possibility. You could always extend a challenge in the weekly. Nonetheless, he does not need my help in defending himself, I was just trying to answer your question of why most posters are less than enamored with you.
Gzapper
01-08-2008, 01:50 AM
There was another thread where you taunted him in which I remember responding, so to me it seems there is a pattern of being in competition with C-man for some reason. The year is young and I haven't met my quota of being wrong yet, so there is that possibility. You could always extend a challenge in the weekly. Nonetheless, he does not need my help in defending himself, I was just trying to answer your question of why most posters are less than enamored with you.
cant knock my stock picks though and thats what we are here for in the mess of things :mrgreen:
netwrangler
01-08-2008, 02:38 AM
I'm practicing for the nude beach at Hedonism III in Jamaica.
*I watch you too. ... and learn. And don't say much cause I my absorbancy quotient gets trashed when I do.:lol:
"And cover up the tatts?"
Tatts are so yesterday. Scars are what is Old Mutual.:lol: :lol:
I won't even start about the beach at Avila.
chinaman711
01-08-2008, 10:02 AM
Another lie from Gzapper as he has never sent me a message and he has never said anything nice about me. The guy is a real nut case and should be put on ignore. Im not going to waste anymore time replying to his stupid posts filled with lies like this one. well im not attacking cman or anyone...i never had problems with cman ever. and in fact if u ask him i went out of my way to message him and tell him (and i still feel this way) that he brings great knowledge and opinion to the forum and thanked him. when im in the chat though he consistently adds his two sense when it comes to pirates and aikis instigating. and to add to the matter look at this thread itself.. and look who started.. i clearly stated that i do not like this stock at this time and had made a nice profit for the year shorting cmans pick. i dont feel this is a taunt its just my opinion that goes against his. i posted my scottrde transaction to prove to the guys in the chat that i really did do it since apparantly everything i do is a lie. going back to the topic at hand though i wish all the best of luck with this stock this year and it may go thru the roof.. i have no idea.. but imo i hope your entry point this year starts around the %-20 range
Gzapper
01-08-2008, 07:38 PM
well whatever cman but i personally thanked you in a private im in the chat room for everything u do for everyone.. you said your welcome to me and then closed your im window.. it was about 3 months ago and to this day i still mean that
Bman409
01-14-2008, 11:26 AM
I bought some DSTI just now.. around $5.60
Weren't there insiders buying this recently above $6?
seems like you can't go wrong in that scenario
Bman409
01-14-2008, 01:05 PM
No takers?
microhedge
01-14-2008, 07:58 PM
Not me... not right now anyway.
Rode a bit of that amazing surge to the $7.60s... :marchmellow:
I'm waiting to see where she settles, she's looking a little :slug:ish
Gzapper
01-15-2008, 01:43 AM
u shouldve put a disclaimer on this pos c man... this garbage MIGHT go back to 3.. SO TERRIBLE... i guess u might get %60 roi IF you bought at 3.12.. :rolleyes2: so bad
Keventerprises
01-15-2008, 03:37 AM
u shouldve put a disclaimer on this pos c man... this garbage MIGHT go back to 3.. SO TERRIBLE... i guess u might get %60 roi IF you bought at 3.12.. :rolleyes2: so bad
The technicals are all so negative that I chose to short it for this week's challenge, even after last week's 16% drop.
chinaman711
01-15-2008, 08:58 AM
Still a nice stock to trade and still 1 of my picks for 2008 and the future. GE investing 6 billion dollars in wind, solar, biomass, hydro and geothermal power. Solar is not going away and lots of money to be made in solar stocks. A year ago they were saying the same things about asti and hoku and look what asti did. DSTI imo will catch up when they get their plant up and running and they start signing deals just like asti and hoku has. Look for GE and DSTI to announce a deal. JMHO and Good luck
Keventerprises
01-15-2008, 10:59 AM
Still a nice stock to trade and still 1 of my picks for 2008 and the future. GE investing 6 billion dollars in wind, solar, biomass, hydro and geothermal power. Solar is not going away and lots of money to be made in solar stocks. A year ago they were saying the same things about asti and hoku and look what asti did. DSTI imo will catch up when they get their plant up and running and they start signing deals just like asti and hoku has. Look for GE and DSTI to announce a deal. JMHO and Good luck
I hear you. I am very pro solar, and feel guilty shorting it even for a week, and you're right, it will go up. Is DSTI the one's doing the new solar foil technology? Whatever happened to Stanford Ovshinski who was laminating solar silicon layers to the back of Mylar in a continuous film made by the mile? It's called Sovonics, and America wouldn't support it so he moved production to Japan and the US importer is now in San Diego called Uni Solar (800) 397-2083.
Unfortunately, so far the only reason the industry survives at all is because of 75% subsidies by the government and power companies. A $30,000.00+ system will only save you about $100.00-150.00 per month on your bill so a $1500.00 per year savings on your power bill will be a 30 year payback, or more if it's borrowed funds, and if you use batteries and replaced them 3 times in those 30 years, then you're way in the red.
Increasing energy costs are also encouraging development, but I don't think Ethanol will be on the survivors list in 10 years though, and in the mean time they're just going to make the cost of my Bourbon go up... :cheers:
englishman26
01-18-2008, 12:07 PM
Looks to be hitting a serious support low here. I've not followed this much but surely around $3.90 this is a buy. What's the reason or the big slide from $7 to here? (of course the real low is $2 and it could go to there in this market!)
Keventerprises
01-18-2008, 01:24 PM
Looks to be hitting a serious support low here. I've not followed this much but surely around $3.90 this is a buy. What's the reason or the big slide from $7 to here? (of course the real low is $2 and it could go to there in this market!)
Good Morning Eman,
I went on the technicals being all very negative on VectorVest, as follows (a bit lengthy, but all relevant). I hope you find it helpful. It's way overvalued and well below it's stop price. Sometimes below Stop means buy, but when they go straight past it, that means sell fast.
Value: Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. DSTI has a current Value of $0.66 per share. Therefore, it is overvalued compared to its Price of $3.96 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease. VectorVest advocates the purchase of undervalued stocks. At some point in time, a stock's Price and Value always will converge.
RV (Relative Value): RV is an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential. DSTI has an RV of 0.21, which is very poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. This indicator is far superior to a simple comparison of Price and Value because it is computed from an analysis of projected price appreciation three years out, AAA Corporate Bond Rates, and risk. RV solves the riddle of whether it is preferable to buy High growth, High P/E stocks, or Low growth, Low P/E stocks. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks with RV ratings above 1.00.
RS (Relative Safety): RS is an indicator of risk. DSTI has an RS rating of 0.67, which is poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RS is computed from an analysis of the consistency and predictability of a company's financial performance, debt to equity ratio, sales volume, business longevity, price volatility and other factors. A stock with an RS rating greater than 1.00 is safer and more predictable than the average stock in the VectorVest database. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks of companies with consistent, predictable financial performance.
RT (Relative Timing): RT is a fast, smart, accurate indicator of a stock's price trend. DSTI has a Relative Timing rating of 0.33, which is very poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RT is computed from an analysis of the direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a stock's price movements over one day, one week, one quarter and one year time periods. Once a stock's price has established a strong trend, it is expected to continue in that trend for the short-term. If a trend dissipates, RT will gravitate toward 1.00. RT will explode from bottoms, dive from tops, and reflect changes in price momentum. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks with RT ratings above 1.00.
VST (VST-Vector): VST is the master indicator for ranking every stock in the VectorVest database. DSTI has a VST rating of 0.45, which is very poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. VST is computed from the square root of a weighted sum of the squares of RV, RS, and RT. Stocks with the highest VST ratings have the best combinations of Value, Safety and Timing. These are the stocks to own for above average, long-term capital appreciation. VectorVest advocates the purchase of safe, undervalued stocks rising in price.
Recommendation (REC): VectorVest gives a Buy, Sell, Hold recommendation on every stock, every day. DSTI has a Sell recommendation. REC reflects the cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks rising in price. They also help investors avoid or sell risky, overvalued stocks falling in price. VectorVest recommends that investors buy high VST-Vector, Buy-rated stocks in rising markets.
Stop (Stop-Price): Stop is an indicator of when to sell a long position or cover a short position. DSTI has a Stop of $4.33 per share. This is $0.37 above DSTI's current closing Price. A stock's Stop is computed from a 13 week moving average of its closing prices, and is fine-tuned according to the stock's fundamentals. High RV, high RS stocks have lower Stops, and low RV, low RS stocks have higher Stops. In the VectorVest system, a stock gets a 'B' or 'H' recommendation if its Price is above its Stop and an 'S' recommendation if its Price is below its Stop.
GRT (Earnings Growth Rate): GRT reflects a company's one to three year forecasted earnings growth rate in percent per year. DSTI has a forecasted Earnings Growth Rate of -6.00%, which VectorVest considers to be very poor. GRT is computed from historical, current and forecasted earnings data. It is updated each week for every stock in the VectorVest database. GRT often foretells a stock's future price trend. If a stock's GRT trend is upward, the stock's price will likely rise. If GRT is trending downward, the stock's Price will probably fall. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks whose GRT is rising and is greater than the sum of current inflation and interest rates, (10.18%).
EPS (Earnings per Share): EPS stands for leading 12 months Earnings Per Share. DSTI has a forecasted EPS of $-0.61 per share. VectorVest determines this forecast from a combination of recent earnings performance and traditional fiscal and/or calendar year earnings forecasts.
P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio): P/E is a popular measure of stock valuation which shows the dollars required to buy one dollar of earnings. DSTI has a P/E of -6.49. This ratio may be deemed to be high or low depending upon your frame of reference. The average P/E of all the stocks in the VectorVest database is 28.95. P/E is computed daily using the formula: P/E = Price/EPS.
EY (Earnings Yield): EY reflects earnings per share as a percent of Price. EY is related to P/E via the formula, EY = 100 / (P/E), and may be used in place of P/E as a measure of valuation. EY has the advantages that it is always determinate and can reflect negative earnings. DSTI has an EY of -15.40 percent. This is below the current average of 3.47% for all the stocks in the VectorVest database. EY equals 100 x (EPS/Price).
GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio): GPE is another popular measure of stock valuation. It compares earnings growth rate to P/E ratio. DSTI has a GPE rating of -0.93. High growth stocks are believed to be able to justify high P/E ratios. A stock is commonly considered to be undervalued when GPE is greater than 1.00 and overvalued when GPE is below 1.00. Unfortunately, this rule of thumb does not take into account the effect of interest rates on P/E ratios. The operative GPE ratio of 1.00 is valid when and only when interest rates equal 10%. With long-term interest rates currently at 5.88%, the operative GPE ratio is 0.35. Therefore, DSTI may be considered to be overvalued.
Dividend Analysis Back to top
DIV (Dividend): VectorVest reports annual, regular, cash dividends as indicated by the most recent payments. Special distributions, one-time payments, stock dividends, etc., are not generally included in DIV. DSTI does not pay a dividend.
DY (Dividend Yield): DY reflects dividend per share as a percent of Price. DSTI does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Yield rating. . DY equals 100 x (DIV/Price). It is useful to compare DY with EY. If DY is not significantly lower than EY, the dividend payment may be in jeopardy.
DS (Dividend Safety): DS is an indicator of the assurance that regular cash dividends will be declared and paid at current or at higher rates for the foreseeable future. DSTI does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Safety rating . Stocks with DS values above 75 typically have RS values well above 1.00 and EY levels that are much higher than DY.
DG (Dividend Growth Rate): Dividend Growth is a subtle yet important indicator of a company's financial performance. It also provides some insight into the board's outlook on the company's ability to increase earnings. DSTI does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Growth rating .
YSG (YSG-Vector): YSG is an indicator which combines DS, DY and DG into a single value, and allows direct comparison of all dividend-paying stocks in the database. DSTI does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a YSG rating . Stocks with the highest YSG values have the best combinations of Dividend Yield, Safety and Growth. These are the stocks to buy for above average current income and long-term growth.
Price-Volume Data Back to top
Price: DSTI closed on 1/17/2008 at $3.96 per share
Open: DSTI opened trading at a price of $4.53 per share on 1/17/2008.
High: DSTI traded at a High price of $4.65 per share on 1/17/2008.
Low: DSTI traded at a Low price of $3.95 per share on 1/17/2008
Close: DSTI closed trading at price $3.96 per share on 1/17/2008. (Close is also called Price in the VectorVest system)
Range: Range reflects the difference between the High and Low prices for the day. DSTI traded with a range of $0.70 per share on 1/17/2008.
$Change: DSTI closed down 0.50 from the prior day's closing Price.
%PRC: DSTI's Price changed -11.21% from the prior day's closing price.
Volume: DSTI traded 1,233,435 shares on 1/17/2008.
AvgVol: AvgVol is the 50 day moving average of daily volume as computed by VectorVest. DSTI has an AvgVol of 1,254,700 shares traded per day.
%Vol: %Vol reflects the percent change in today's trading volume as compared to the AvgVol. %Vol equals ((Volume - AvgVol) / AvgVol ) * 100. DSTI had a %Vol of -1.69% on 1/17/2008
CI (Comfort Index): CI is an indicator which reflects a stock's ability to resist severe and/or lengthy price declines. DSTI has a CI rating of 1.28, which is very good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. CI is quite different from RS in that it is based solely upon a stock's long-term price history. VectorVest advocates the purchase of high CI stocks.
Sales / Market Capitalization Information Back to top
Sales: DSTI has annual sales of $0.00
Sales Growth: Sales Growth is the Sales Growth Rate in percent over the last 12 months. DSTI has a Sales Growth of -100.00% per year. This is very poor. Sales Growth is updated each week for every stock. It is often useful to compare Sales Growth to Earnings Growth to gain an insight into a company's operations.
Sales Per Share (SPS): DSTI has annual sales of $0.02 per share. SPS can be used as a measure of valuation when comparing stocks within an Industry Group.
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S): DSTI has a P/S of 172.04. This ratio is also used as a measure of valuation. Here, too, it is useful when comparing stocks within an Industry Group.
Shares: DSTI has 7,000,000.00 shares of stock outstanding.
Market Capitalization: DSTI has a Market Capitalization of $30,000,000.00. Market Capitalization is calculated by multiplying price times shares outstanding.
Summary Back to top
DSTI is overvalued compared to its Price of $3.96 per share, has below average safety, and is currently rated a Sell.
The basic strategy of VectorVest is to buy Low risk, High reward stocks. We suggest that Prudent investors buy enough High Relative Value, High Relative Safety stocks to keep the overall RV and RS ratings of their portfolios above 1.00. As you do this, you'll find that your risk will go down and your investment performance will improve.
Stock Graph for Daystar Technologies Inc Industry Graph for Energy (Clean)
mlegha1
01-18-2008, 03:17 PM
In this market stay away from a spec stock like this one.Buy it around $2 in a few weeks.
goldbug70
01-18-2008, 04:55 PM
In this market stay away from a spec stock like this one.Buy it around $2 in a few weeks.
I love that call, spot on logic. Looking at the chart (maybe not the best guide) that $2 range is a possible base as things get rockier into next week.
Solar bounce is what i've got my eyes on after the correction.
Waiting for SOLF to hit $15 (if no bounce then $10-12 base) and ASTI to settle in the $12 neighborhood. Can't call LDK but tempted to go long if had to.
Pure spec of course, but what the hell- at least that's free.
chinaman711
01-25-2008, 09:50 AM
Nice read on energy--http://peswiki.com/index.php/Congress:Top_100_Technologies_--_RD
netwrangler
01-25-2008, 08:30 PM
Nice read on energy--http://peswiki.com/index.php/Congress:Top_100_Technologies_--_RD
Thanks for that post, Cman
microhedge
01-26-2008, 02:26 PM
I would love to see this hit 2.00 as I would buy in hoardes but I can't see it going that low with the intense support it has gotten in the recent bloodiness.
Definitely one of the many solars we are all watching... it could very well be the BQI of the solar world.
"hello, my name is MicroHedge, and I can't stop buying DSTI... oh wait my BQI Buyers Anonymous meeting is starting, I gotta run"
Keventerprises
01-27-2008, 01:17 AM
I would love to see this hit 2.00 as I would buy in hoardes but I can't see it going that low with the intense support it has gotten in the recent bloodiness.
Definitely one of the many solars we are all watching... it could very well be the BQI of the solar world.
"hello, my name is MicroHedge, and I can't stop buying DSTI... oh wait my BQI Buyers Anonymous meeting is starting, I gotta run"
BQI Buyers Anonymous, that's funny! DSTI seemd to have turned the corner this last week and stopped going down for now with support in the current price range. We'll have to see what the coming market influences do to it. What do they have in the works that is so promising? From what I saw they have an assessed value of $.66 with zero income, projected growth of -100% and almost all negative technicals. Are they the ones developing a new foil technology for solar panels?
chinaman711
02-04-2008, 12:08 PM
You guys are dreaming if you think dsti will see 2. Look for 7 .69 again before it sees 2. JMHO
microhedge
02-04-2008, 06:43 PM
I am dreaming Chinaman, but at least its a nice dream, I buy DSTI under $2.00 while I count :sheep:
In reality I am averaging in the mid 3's
Have DSTI will travel.
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